Investiing site StockG.com - Newsletter 10/29/00

Subject: StockG.com Investment Newsletter - October 29, 2000

Volume 1 No. 8 October 29, 2000

Free Newsletter from StockG.com

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SUMMARY
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1. Market Overview ==> "Bumpy Road Continues"
2. Week in Review ==> "GDP, Fiber Optics"
3. Upcoming Week's News ==> "Will I need a Seat Belt?"
4. Investing Web-site of the Week =>"iExchange.com"
5. Stock of the Week "HGSI'
6. Stocks to Watch ==>"CSCO,AMAT,SPIR,PCLN"
7. Strategy of the Week ==>"$50"
8. Book of the Week ==>"Roaring 2000 Investor"
9. Articles of the Week
10. Wizard's Quote of the Week ==>"You need another hobby"
11. Future Trends ==> "Wireless Modems"
12. Monkey Picks ==> "TLRK,RJR,DTRN,BCE,DCTM"
13. Hot Links
14. Ask Us a Question ==>"Where to invest $100 per month"
15. Disclaimer
16. Miscellaneous

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1. MARKET OVERVIEW
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The bumpy ride continues. On Friday, the GDP in the 3rd quarter increased at an annualized rate of 2.7%, down from 5.6% in the 2nd quarter and below the predicted level of 3.5%. This is both good and bad. It's good if you thought the economy was growing too quickly and it's bad if you think corporate profits will now shrink. A negative earnings report by Nortel sent the market down, especially the fiber optic stocks on Wednesday but JDS Uniphase came to the rescue with good earnings and prevented key support levels from being broken. Thursday was interesting because the Nasdaq sunk quickly to hit the 3100 level but then closed strongly at the 3272 level. The key resistance level of 3500 on the Nasdaq seems to be pretty strong, and if we can get through it the tech stocks should be in good shape. Microsoft is doing its best to help out as its up 40% in just 7 trading days from the low it hit on Oct. 18th of $48.44 to its closing price of $67.69. See our strategy of the week for an interesting strategy using the price of $50. The Dow had a much better week than the Nasdaq due to the strength of the financial stocks. The Dow has been up the last 6 out of 7 days.

The Nasdaq was down for the previous week and for the last 7 out of 8 weeks, as the slide continues for the tech stocks. For the week, the Dow was up 364 points or 3.56%, the Nasdaq was down 204 points or 5.88% and the S&P 500 was down 17.4 points or 1.24%. The Nasdaq had three down days and two up days with support at 3100 and resistance at 3526.. There has been a divergence with the Dow and the Nasdaq indexes this past week. Dow was up 4 days and down one day last week. Wednesday was a lousy day with the Nasdaq down 5.6%. If you view the Nasdaq chart below Monday is neutral, Tuesday and Wednesday are bearish, Wednesday neutral, Thursday bullish and Friday is neutral. Monday and Tuesday form a "Bearish Engulfing Pattern".

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2. WEEK IN REVIEW
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General Electric to Purchase Honeywell
http://www.fool.com/news/breakfast/2000/breakfast001023.htm

Lucent's McGinn ousted, replaced by Schacht
http://biz.yahoo.com/rf/001023/n23403877.html

AT&T May Split Into Four Parts
http://biz.yahoo.com/apf/001023/at_t_6.html

Texas Instruments shares look cheap - Barron's
http://biz.yahoo.com/rf/001022/n22292196.html

Nortel stock pounded as optical sales slow
http://biz.yahoo.com/rf/001024/n23430828_3.html

EMC Corporation - New Study Finds Explosive Growth of World's Information is Only Beginning
http://biz.yahoo.com/em/001024/p.html

Sector of the Day: CMGI Blues
http://biz.yahoo.com/wi/001025/12429.html

Notify Technology Signs Agreement With AT&T WorldNet(R) Service
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/001026/ca_notify_.html

The $190 Billion Haircut (Fiber Optics take hit)
http://www.fool.com/news/foth/2000/foth001027.htm

Wall St. likes GDP data
http://cnnfn.cnn.com/2000/10/27/markets/markets_newyork/

Microsoft: big hack attack
http://cnnfn.cnn.com/2000/10/27/technology/microsoft/

Give Handspring the Back of your Palm
http://www.cnbc.com/commentary/commentary_full_story_stocks.asp?StoryID=25298

Amgen Falls on Sales Warning
http://dailynews.yahoo.com/h/nm/20001027/bs/amgen_stocks_dc_3.html

Biotech Week in Review
http://www.biospace.com/investor/wir_102700.cfm

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3. UPCOMING WEEKS NEWS
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Halloween and the end of October are approaching, good riddance. Look for continued volatility but remember that technology stocks have beaten the market between November and February for 11 of the last 15 years.

Election leads on Wall St.
http://cnnfn.cnn.com/2000/10/29/markets/sun_lookahead/

Stocks May Struggle in the Week Ahead
http://www.cnbc.com/commentary/commentary_full_story_Markets.asp?StoryID=25330

The Coming Week: Going Nowhere Fast
http://www.thestreet.com/markets/thecomingweek/1146963.html

IPO's
=====
Keep an eye out for Transmeta's (TMTA ) IPO

The IPO Week Ahead
http://news.morningstar.com/news/Wire/0,1230,3135,00.html

See http://www.cnetinvestor.com/ipos/ipos-nextweek.asp

Some Upcoming Earnings
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For complete list, see http://biz.yahoo.com/research/earncal/20001030.html

Interesting Upcoming Stock Splits
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HWP - Hewlett Packard
AMCC - Applied Micro
TEK - Tektronix

For complete list see http://biz.yahoo.com/c/00/s10.html

Lockups Expiring
================

See http://www.ipo.com/ipoinfo/lockup.asp?p=IPO

Economic Calendar
=================

See http://biz.yahoo.com/c/00/10/cal5.html

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4. INVESTING WEB-SITE OF THE WEEK
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Our web-site of the week is http://www.iExchange.com. This site gives you free research from other members with their stock picks and their past performance.

If you'd like to nominate an investing site as our "Investing Web-site of the Week" send up an email to SiteOfWeek@StockG.com.

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5. STOCK OF THE WEEK
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This report is dated 10/28/00

Our stock of the week is not a recommendation to buy or sell, just an interesting company you might want to follow. Please see our disclaimer at the end of this newsletter.

Our stock of the week is Human Genome Sciences ticker (HGSI). Human Genome Sciences' home page is at http://www.hgsi.com/. Get a quote for Human Genome Sciences at http://quote.yahoo.com/q?s=hgsi&d=b

Human Genome Sciences, Inc. researches and develops novel compounds for treating and diagnosing human diseases based on the discovery and understanding of the medical usefulness of genes. The Company has used automated, high speed technology to discover the sequences of chemicals in genes and generate a large collection of partial human gene sequences. The Company believes that its collection includes most of the genes responsible for producing proteins in the human body. The Company possesses one of the largest databases of the genes of humans and microbes, which the Company refers to as its genomic database. It has created a broad base of product opportunities based on its genomic database. The Company has since focused primarily on the research and development of proteins for the treatment of human disease.

If you invest in this stock please use only an amount you are willing to lose as it is risky. Stock is currently in a MACD up-trend, and it's above the 200 day moving average which are good. If you purchase this stock you should cut your loses at 8% of your original investment which is a stop price of $81.08 at its current price of $88.13, though with support at $80 you may want to have a stop price of 77 15/16. Stock is up 38% in the last 3 months, 130% in the last 6 months and 303% in the last 12 months. Its 52-week high is 116.375 and it's currently trading at 88.125 which is 32.06% from its high. Resistance is at $105 and support at $80. According to their last quarterly report their are no legal proceedings against the company but HGSI is currently filing and prosecuting a larger number of patent applications relating to genes and proteins they discovered. Their revenues for the previous 12 months were $21.4 million with a loss of $105 million. Morningstar.com rates Human Genome Sciences as an F for Growth, C for profitability, D+ for financial health, and an NA for valuation which is a lousy rating. Barchart.com rates 20% Buy short term, 25% Buy medium term and 67% Buy long-term and an overall rating of 32% Buy which is good. Stock has a rating of 1.88 on Yahoo, which is good. VectorVest rates it very poor value, very poor safety, very good timing, for an overall rating of poor and they have a Hold recommendation on the stock.

On Friday CIBC started analysis of the company with a "Strong Buy" rating. Stock has great name and a dynamic CEO. This stock was recently picked as a "Rule Breaker" by the Motley Fools.

To do a complete analysis go to http://StockG.com/q.htm

One risk of many is that this stock is overvalued, and the Nasdaq has been performing poorly, company is in the biotech field which can have extreme fluctuations, especially if a drug fails to get FDA approval.

Click below for research link on HGSI:

* Motley Fools at http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=HGSI
* Money Central at http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/research/wizards/srwfund.asp?Symbol=HGSI
* Morningstar.com at http://quicktake.morningstar.com/Stocks/StockGrade/_HGSI.html
* Barchart.com at http://quotes.barchart.com/texpert.asp?sym=HGSI&code = 1
* SmartMoney.com at http://smartmoney.com/eqsnaps/index.cfm?story=competition&symbol=HGSI&fk=7272
* ClearStation.com at http://www.clearstation.com/cgi-bin/details?Event=peek&Symbol=HGSI&Refer=http://www.clearstation.com/
* Yahoo at http://quote.yahoo.com/q?s=HGSI&d=b
* Second Opinion at http://suretrade.stkwtch.com/Suretrade/Secop/HGSI.asp
* Thomson I-watch at http://iw.thomsoninvest.net/iwatch/cgi-bin/iw_page?ticker=HGSI
* Raging Bull at http://www.ragingbull.altavista.com/mboard/boards.cgi?board=HGSI
* 10Q - Last Quarterly Report -http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/901219/000095013300003179/0000950133-00-003179.txt
* Broker Reports at http://www.cnetinvestor.com/reports-single-company.asp?symbol=HGSI
* StockConsultant.com Report at http://www.stockconsultant.com/consultnow/basic.cgi?zz=62&symbol=HGSI
* Vector Vest at http://www.vectorvest.com
* Price History YTD: http://chart.yahoo.com/t?a=12&b=28&c=99&d=10&e=29&f=00&g=d&s=hgsi&y=0&z=hgsi

The author doesn't as of 10/28/00 own any shares of this stock.
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6. STOCKS TO WATCH
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Cisco (CSCO) finding support at $50
Applied Materials (AMAT) can it get back above $50
Spire (SPIR) Great looking technicals
Priceline (PCLN) Will it come back, hold $5

see a quote at yahoo http://quote.yahoo.com/q?s=csco,amat,spir,pcln&d=v1

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7. STRATEGY OF THE WEEK
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Buy Stocks which come from $100 and hit $50 with a stop at $45

Many high-flier stocks will shoot up to $100 and above and then come crashing, and then find support at $50 and then head back up. One strategy could be to buy as stock approaches $50 and put a stop at $45 - $47 to protect yourself. It seems that $50 is a very strong psychological support level. Remember to do your due diligence before you invest.

See the following charts http://quote.yahoo.com/q?s=msft+rtrsy+ebay+CSCO+&d=b

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8. BOOK OF THE WEEK
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Our book of the week is "The Roaring 2000s Investor" by Harry Dent Jr. The book is rated 3 1/2 out of 5 stars and sells for $12.60 through Amazon.com. Click the link below to view reviews or purchase. This book describes how to invest your money based on population demographics. Harry Dent makes a convincing argument on why the US Market will continue to boom until 2008 and where you should put your money.

http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/068486231X/etopinvestorcom

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9. ARTICLES OF THE WEEK
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Research in Motion Sickness?
http://www.fool.com/news/foolplate/2000/foolplate001020.htm

My Investment Mistakes
http://www.fool.com/portfolios/rulemaker/2000/rulemaker001018.htm

Cisco's Formidable Challenge
http://www.fool.com/boringport/2000/boringport001023.htm

Mr. Buffett on the Stock Market
http://www.fortune.com/fortune/1999/11/22/buf.html

Stock of the Day: Triquint Semiconductor: Broadband's Best Value
http://biz.yahoo.com/ii/001023/stock_001023.html

Merrill's Techfolio of Top Tech Companies
http://www.cnbc.com/commentary/commentary_full_story_Stocks.asp?StoryID=25128

Globally Most Admired Companies
http://www.fortune.com/fortune/globaladmired/

Fortunes All Star Analysts
http://www.fortune.com/fortune/allstars/index.html

How Much Information? (an attempt to measure how much information is produced in the world each year.)
http://www.sims.berkeley.edu/how-much-info/

When the FDA Says No
http://www.fool.com/news/foth/2000/foth000929.htm

Greenspan 101
http://university.smartmoney.com/Departments/investing101/stocks/index.cfm?story=20000125

Does Transmeta Need AMD?
http://www.smartmoney.com/stockwatch/index.cfm?story=200009193

Trick or Treat Foolstyle (6 Sweet Companies)
http://www.fool.com/specials/2000/sp001024.htm

Motley Fool Questions (Analysts Rating and Day Trading)
http://www.fool.com/specials/2000/sp001024.htm

Breaking Up Is Good to Do (AT&T Breakup)
http://www.smartmoney.com/stockcloseup/index.cfm?story=20001027

Measuring the Telecom Turmoil
http://www.smartmoney.com/stockwatch/index.cfm?story=200010271

A Soft Landing Could Be Hard on Stocks
http://www.smartmoney.com/theeconomy/index.cfm?story=200010261

Cleaning Up the Bulletin Board
http://www.smartmoney.com/onthestreet/index.cfm?story=200010261

Priceline's price
http://www.ragingbull.altavista.com/articles/kerr/10-19-00.html

No market bottom in sight
http://www.upside.com/Dawn_Patrol/39f9f9ba3.html

Latest rebound looks positive
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/current/Moses.htx?source=htx/http2_mw

Three Steps to Successful Call Buying Three Steps to Successful Call Buying Three Steps to Successful Call Buying
http://www.thestreet.com/funds/optionsforum/1146229.html

How to Buy the New Technology Leaders
http://www.thestreet.com/funds/jubak/1146099.html

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10. WIZARD'S QUOTE OF THE WEEK
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"You need another hobby"

The wizard believes the stock market is important but there are other things like friends, family community, the Yankees which are also important. Are you spending too much time investing? Are you investing or are you gambling?

Ask the Stock Wizard a question at http://stockg.com/FI_StockWizard.htm?em

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11. FUTURE TRENDS
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"Ricochet Wireless Modem"

We just saw a demo of their wireless modem and thought it was pretty cool. It attaches to the back of your portable computer and uses a satellite cell phone to currently give you speeds equivalent to ISDN (128kbps). See their homepage at http://www.metricom.com/

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12. MONKEY PICKS
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Our Monkey has picked the following stocks for the week of October 29, 2000

TLRK - Tularik
RJR - RJR Tobacco
DRTN - Data Return Corp
BCE - BCE Corp
DCTM - Documentum

Get a quote at yahoo here http://quote.yahoo.com/q?s=tlrk+rjr+drtn+bce+dctm&d=v4

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14. ASK US A QUESTION
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I am 50 years old, and have never invested. I can invest about $100 monthly. What should I start in and how? Thank you.

Sounds like you should be investing in DRIPs. (Dividend Reinvestment Plans). This allows you to invest in companies with no commissions in most cases. There are a number of sites that supply this info such as:

http://www.dripinvestor.com/
http://www.dripcentral.com/

An excellent book on the subject is: "Buying Stocks Without a Broker" can be bought at link below:
http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/007011501X/etopinvestorcom/

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15. DISCLAIMER
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We are not responsible for any losses or profits that may result from the application of information contained with this website or newsletter. This site and its owners are not registered Investment Advisers nor a Broker/Dealer. This site is issued solely for informational and educational purposes only and is not constructed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy. The information provided on this site is in no way a verification of the methodology used for stock picking by the site or guarantees the accuracy of the information, that is your responsibility. The opinions and analysis included herein are based from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith but no representation or warranty, expressed or implied is made as to their accuracy, completeness or correctness. The inclusion of a link to a site does not, in any way, represent or imply an approval of, or a determination of the quality of that product or service, by StockG.com. The links provided herein are maintained by their respective organizations and they are solely responsible for their content. Users agree to hold StockG.com harmless for any and all damages arising out of use of this service. Users are urged to consult with their own independent financial advisors with respect to any investment. All information contained in this report should be independently verified with the companies mentioned. The data and materials are provided by StockG.com on an "AS IS" basis. Purchasing securities is risky. You may lose some or all of your investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. StockG.com and its owners may invest in the companies that are profiled. We reserve the right to buy or sell any of these profiled stocks before and after they are posted to the site or recommended.

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